Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on November 14?

Resolved No. 23% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

No 27%

Total Value

$268.14

Combined PnL

-$77.89

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 13 top traders (23%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders
Total Value$268.14
Total Shares268
Combined PnL-$2.43
Yes10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares544
Combined PnL-$75.47
No — 23%Yes — 77%
1D
1DVSBSTD
No

Invested

$199.8

Value

$200

PnL

+$0.2

Record

99%

1517-23 (1540)

GO
god83743894<$100
No

Invested

$68.07

Value

$38.14

PnL

-$2.66

Record

38%

308-501 (809)

QU
quietparcel<$100
No

Invested

$29.97

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.03

Record

36%

286-506 (792)

balthazarCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$16.34

Value

—

PnL

-$16.34

Record

43%

5182-7005 (12187)

0X
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$15.36

Value

—

PnL

-$15.36

Record

49%

828-850 (1678)

E4
e46m3CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.69

Value

—

PnL

-$5.69

Record

41%

2666-3863 (6529)

KA
kaxel78CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.19

Value

—

PnL

-$5.19

Record

26%

586-1706 (2292)

HaradwaithCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$13.19

Value

—

PnL

-$12.99

Record

29%

266-656 (922)

LucerysCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$9.91

Value

—

PnL

-$3.64

Record

35%

3865-7146 (11011)

QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.27

Value

—

PnL

-$1.27

Record

28%

3267-8303 (11570)

LU
luciebotCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

24%

762-2435 (3197)

AN
anothercoinCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

36%

1600-2790 (4390)

MI
mildwindow27CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$14.26

Value

—

PnL

-$13.95

Record

31%

1102-2457 (3559)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa9ae1dab...171141
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-november-14-2026-37forbelow

Traders in this Market

1D

1DVSBSTD

No — $200

+$0.2
GO

god83743894

No — $38.14

-$2.66
QU

quietparcel

No — $30

+$0.03

balthazar

CTR

Yes — $0

-$16.34
0X

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

CTR

Yes — $0

-$15.36
E4

e46m3

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.69
KA

kaxel78

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.19

Haradwaith

CTR

Yes — $0

-$12.99

Lucerys

CTR

Yes — $0

-$3.64
QW

qwen300.fund

CTR

Yes — $0

-$1.27
Trade on Polymarket