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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 15?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$25.64
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x604a647c...e175f1
Slug
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-15-2026-80-81f