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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 5?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 29%
Total Value
$353.06
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 14 top traders (29%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x16a1dae7...7b7a61
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-september-5-2026-23c