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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 3?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
No 71%
Total Value
$310.51
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 14 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5260df90...3d7924
Slug
highest-temperature-in-munich-on-october-3-2026-20c