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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 9?

Resolved No. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 100%

Total Value

$2.95

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No7 traders

Total Value$2.95

Total Shares3

Combined PnL+$0

Yes3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 70%Yes — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$2.5	$2.5	+$0	100% 30-0 (30)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$0.45	$0.45	+$0	43% 34-45 (79)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	77% 44-13 (57)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	39% 51-81 (132)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	—	—	+$0	80% 61-15 (76)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	46% 42-50 (92)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Yesavg 1.1¢	—	—	+$0	28% 55-139 (194)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	44% 46-59 (105)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	45% 53-66 (119)
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	—	—	+$0	54% 19-16 (35)

Invested

$2.5

Value

$2.5

PnL

+$0

Record

100%

30-0 (30)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

$0.45

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

34-45 (79)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

44-13 (57)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

51-81 (132)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

80%

61-15 (76)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

42-50 (92)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

28%

55-139 (194)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

46-59 (105)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

53-66 (119)

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

19-16 (35)

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x162dfb46...342682

Slug

highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-november-9-2026-8c

Traders in this Market

1DVSBSTD

No — $2.5

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $0.45

Lucerys

No — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

Yes — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

Yes — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

Yes — $0

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