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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
21
Yes 29%
Total Value
$89.72
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 21 top traders (29%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdc11971a...a85217
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-november-6-2026-4c