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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 6?
Resolved Yes. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
23
No 91%
Total Value
$14.54
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
21 of 23 top traders (91%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x61df0e50...505cb5
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-november-6-2026-2c