Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 50%
Total Value
$93.98
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 11 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x01b5dfcd...48cb8b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-moscow-on-november-15-2026-1c