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No
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNo
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$205.15
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 6 top traders (100%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares300
Combined PnL-$205.15
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR | Noavg 66.9¢ | $201.1 | — | -$205.15 | 60% 1629-1089 (2718) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 42.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20749-13168 (33917) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 597-567 (1164) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Noavg 47.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6367-5579 (11946) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 60.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13241-10089 (23330) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 32.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 25% 283-869 (1152) |
24
241532532432CTRInvested
$201.1
Value
—
PnL
-$205.15
Record
60%
1629-1089 (2718)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20749-13168 (33917)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
597-567 (1164)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6367-5579 (11946)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13241-10089 (23330)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
283-869 (1152)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0f644339...270e1d
Slug
highest-temperature-in-milan-on-october-28-2026-17c