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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 5?
Resolved Yes. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
21
No 62%
Total Value
$24.49
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 21 top traders (62%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x49bcb48a...6a2a97
Slug
highest-temperature-in-milan-on-november-5-2026-14c