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Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 1
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$469.91
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes42%
No58%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 IstarothARB<$100 | Yesavg 39.6¢ | $378.87 | $356.35 | -$11.39 | 19% 335-1419 (1754) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 39.6¢ | $194.98 | $206.93 | +$9.27 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 66.1¢ | $170.19 | $149.42 | -$20.66 | |
24 241532532432ARB<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $136.24 | $113.56 | -$22.68 | 59% 1862-1301 (3163) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 70¢ | $100.53 | $83.36 | -$17.18 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 32.1¢ | $23.12 | $30.2 | -$5.5 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance44.2%
42.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$126.11
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
226.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x79711027...15d847
Slug
highest-temperature-in-miami-on-november-1-2026-82-83f