Back to Markets
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 7?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Sep 7
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes42%
No59%
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance43.7%
41.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$128.72
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
228.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x40e16771...2e4e0c
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-september-7-2026-22c