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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?
Resolved Yes. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
No 87%
Total Value
$105.1
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
13 of 15 top traders (87%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x99bf36ef...d710ff
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-8-2026-20c