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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 4?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
No 67%
Total Value
$4.17
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 12 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x752ec62d...963cc0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-4-2026-20c