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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$19.62
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x28a71f3b...e11465
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-4-2026-19c