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No
balthazar<$100NoYesNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$155.4
Combined PnL
$32.25
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$155.4
Total Shares155
Combined PnL+$32.25
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 90.4¢ | $123.15 | $155.4 | +$32.25 | 60% 1652-1111 (2763) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20778-13190 (33968) |
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100 | Yesavg 18¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 606-688 (1294) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 86.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13319-10177 (23496) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 82¢ | — | — | +$0 | 24% 285-919 (1204) |
24
241532532432Invested
$123.15
Value
$155.4
PnL
+$32.25
Record
60%
1652-1111 (2763)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20778-13190 (33968)
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
606-688 (1294)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13319-10177 (23496)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
24%
285-919 (1204)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x459873da...c5ae07
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-28-2026-23c