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No
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$240.01
Combined PnL
$8.95
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$240.01
Total Shares240
Combined PnL+$8.95
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 97.1¢ | $233.1 | $240.01 | +$8.95 | 60% 1652-1111 (2763) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20778-13190 (33968) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1694-1679 (3373) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6389-5593 (11982) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13319-10177 (23496) |
24
241532532432Invested
$233.1
Value
$240.01
PnL
+$8.95
Record
60%
1652-1111 (2763)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20778-13190 (33968)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1694-1679 (3373)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6389-5593 (11982)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13319-10177 (23496)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bfc39ff...db83b8
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-28-2026-22c