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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 19?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 75%
Total Value
$5.07
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
6 of 8 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a06cd4f...d47ebc
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-19-2026-18c