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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 18?
Resolved No. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Yes 30%
Total Value
$785.94
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 10 top traders (30%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x31222212...fa0299
Slug
highest-temperature-in-mexico-city-on-october-18-2026-20c