Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$36.24
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f852dd2...5e620b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-september-16-2026-33c