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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 4?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$139.72
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x581f7e2b...8b0b48
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-4-2026-36c