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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 3?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
No 100%
Total Value
$26.43
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 10 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xceb7aa86...1e28aa
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-3-2026-33c