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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 29?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$0.26
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa93f90df...2f6d03
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-29-2026-32c