Back to Markets
Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on October 26?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$117.64
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f2e00b1...9e5586
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-26-2026-36c