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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 16?
Resolved No. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
11
No 91%
Total Value
$358.7
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
10 of 11 top traders (91%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc4c645bc...a33780
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-october-16-2026-30c