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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
19
Yes 53%
Total Value
$20.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
10 of 19 top traders (53%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9324bd6c...986ddf
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-november-6-2026-30c