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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 6?
Resolved No. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Yes 79%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
11 of 14 top traders (79%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c4842a8...d07554
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-november-6-2026-29c