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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 24?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 83%
Total Value
$117.57
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeaad9a7b...b9dd15
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-july-24-2026-30c