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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 16?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 71%
Total Value
$20.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1114b441...f54234
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-july-16-2026-30c