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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 50%
Total Value
$364.06
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 6 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5709b52b...bb9456
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-august-4-2026-30c