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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 21?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 80%
Total Value
$42.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x07b1f69a...70a342
Slug
highest-temperature-in-manila-on-august-21-2026-30c