Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Yes 50%
$344.65
$101.48
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Yesavg 52.3¢ | $20.81 | $344.65 | +$323.84 | 59% 1862-1301 (3163) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Noavg 48.8¢ | $110.97 | — | -$222.37 | 55% 439-359 (798) |
 balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 53.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21225-13548 (34773) |
12 123987456CTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 1888-2337 (4225) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Noavg 50.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1863-1837 (3700) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Yesavg 58¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6624-5811 (12435) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Yesavg 46.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13944-10725 (24669) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4465-9568 (14033) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 52.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 19% 335-1419 (1754) |
Invested
$20.81
Value
$344.65
PnL
+$323.84
Record
59%
1862-1301 (3163)
Invested
$110.97
Value
—
PnL
-$222.37
Record
55%
439-359 (798)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21225-13548 (34773)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1888-2337 (4225)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1863-1837 (3700)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6624-5811 (12435)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13944-10725 (24669)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4465-9568 (14033)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
19%
335-1419 (1754)
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