Back to Markets
Trade on Polymarket

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 27
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.5%
1.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3957.23
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4057.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7706f489...0ba260
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-october-27-2026-21c