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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 27

Yes1¢No99¢Ended Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes1%
No99%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance2.5%

1.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3957.23
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
4057.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7706f489...0ba260
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-october-27-2026-21c

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