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NoYesYesYesYesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 8?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$3.5
Combined PnL
-$6.1
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$3.5
Total Shares4
Combined PnL+$0
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares67
Combined PnL-$6.1
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $3.5 | $3.5 | +$0 | 97% 59589-1863 (61452) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $6.1 | — | -$6.1 | 22% 3337-11823 (15160) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 35% 1117-2083 (3200) |
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 46% 6185-7387 (13572) |
QU quietparcelCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 21521-21350 (42871) |
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 9315-9358 (18673) |
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$3.5
Value
$3.5
PnL
+$0
Record
97%
59589-1863 (61452)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$6.1
Value
—
PnL
-$6.1
Record
22%
3337-11823 (15160)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
35%
1117-2083 (3200)
0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
46%
6185-7387 (13572)
QU
quietparcelCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
21521-21350 (42871)
0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
9315-9358 (18673)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5c01218e...de8d95
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-november-8-2026-21c