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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on November 3?
Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 89%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 9 top traders (89%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad4666d7...26117a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-madrid-on-november-3-2026-12c