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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoYesYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 31?
Resolved No. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$114.92
Combined PnL
$12.81
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 6 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$114.92
Total Shares115
Combined PnL+$14.86
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$2.05
No — 33%Yes — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432 | Noavg 87.6¢ | $105.18 | $114.92 | +$14.86 | 59% 1859-1299 (3158) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $1.96 | — | -$2.05 | 55% 435-356 (791) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21161-13476 (34637) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6587-5792 (12379) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 329-1356 (1685) |
24
241532532432Invested
$105.18
Value
$114.92
PnL
+$14.86
Record
59%
1859-1299 (3158)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$1.96
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
55%
435-356 (791)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21161-13476 (34637)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6587-5792 (12379)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
329-1356 (1685)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa70817be...0b49c7
Slug
highest-temperature-in-lucknow-on-october-31-2026-25c