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NoYesYesNoNoNoNo
Istaroth<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 31?
Resolved No. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 50%
Total Value
$73.54
Combined PnL
-$261.28
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 8 top traders (25%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$73.54
Total Shares74
Combined PnL+$58.05
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares916
Combined PnL-$319.33
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432<$100 | Noavg 56.1¢ | $15.48 | $73.54 | +$58.05 | 59% 1859-1299 (3158) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 37¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1862-1833 (3695) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR | Yesavg 34.8¢ | $319.33 | — | -$319.33 | 50% 655-653 (1308) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 62.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6587-5792 (12379) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 66.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
HE HellYeahTrader<$100 | Noavg 60.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 435-356 (791) |
HI HighTempTation<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 99% 1577-4 (1581) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 61¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 329-1356 (1685) |
24
241532532432<$100Invested
$15.48
Value
$73.54
PnL
+$58.05
Record
59%
1859-1299 (3158)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1862-1833 (3695)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTRInvested
$319.33
Value
—
PnL
-$319.33
Record
50%
655-653 (1308)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6587-5792 (12379)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
HE
HellYeahTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
435-356 (791)
HI
HighTempTation<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
99%
1577-4 (1581)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
329-1356 (1685)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd7f37155...17ce8e
Slug
highest-temperature-in-lucknow-on-october-31-2026-23c