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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on November 8?

Resolved No. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 50%

Total Value

$55.73

Combined PnL

-$64.57

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No6 traders

Total Value$55.73

Total Shares56

Combined PnL+$0.06

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares711

Combined PnL-$64.62

No — 55%Yes — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 15.3¢	$13.1	$55.73	+$0.06	46% 6644-7782 (14426)
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.1¢	$22.07	—	-$64.62	21% 938-3538 (4476)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.1¢	—	—	+$0	30% 35477-83899 (119376)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18663-24360 (43023)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2881-6591 (9472)
AN anothercoinCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	+$0	35% 1161-2125 (3286)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6900-8161 (15061)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	43% 5573-7258 (12831)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	69% 16766-7371 (24137)
0X 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	50% 9336-9403 (18739)
12 123987456CTR<$100	Yesavg 10.5¢	—	—	+$0	30% 2947-6822 (9769)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

$13.1

Value

$55.73

PnL

+$0.06

Record

46%

6644-7782 (14426)

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100

Invested

$22.07

Value

—

PnL

-$64.62

Record

21%

938-3538 (4476)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

35477-83899 (119376)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18663-24360 (43023)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2881-6591 (9472)

anothercoinCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1161-2125 (3286)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6900-8161 (15061)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5573-7258 (12831)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

16766-7371 (24137)

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

9336-9403 (18739)

123987456CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

30%

2947-6822 (9769)

Smart Money Signal

No

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2c9a61df...e909e3

Slug

highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-november-8-2026-94forhigher

Traders in this Market

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $55.73

0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0

Yes — $0

balthazar

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

anothercoin

Yes — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

No — $0

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

No — $0

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

Yes — $0

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