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Yes
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100YesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on November 11?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$48.76
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 5 top traders (100%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares454
Combined PnL-$48.76
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $33.15 | — | -$33.15 | 60% 1158-781 (1939) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $5.44 | — | -$5.44 | 47% 4818-5478 (10296) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $30.16 | — | -$5.06 | 37% 3458-5944 (9402) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $8.23 | — | -$0.81 | 34% 523-997 (1520) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $47.87 | — | -$4.31 | 30% 2950-6939 (9889) |
0X
0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98CTR<$100Invested
$33.15
Value
—
PnL
-$33.15
Record
60%
1158-781 (1939)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$5.44
Value
—
PnL
-$5.44
Record
47%
4818-5478 (10296)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
$30.16
Value
—
PnL
-$5.06
Record
37%
3458-5944 (9402)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$8.23
Value
—
PnL
-$0.81
Record
34%
523-997 (1520)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$47.87
Value
—
PnL
-$4.31
Record
30%
2950-6939 (9889)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c10a23a...4e7e37
Slug
highest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-november-11-2026-90-91f