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Yes
balthazar<$100NoYesYesYes
IstarothCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 28?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$26.18
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares267
Combined PnL-$26.18
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 241532532432CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.8¢ | $26.18 | — | -$26.18 | 60% 1599-1056 (2655) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1654-1642 (3296) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6330-5547 (11877) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13143-10017 (23160) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 26% 281-787 (1068) |
24
241532532432CTR<$100Invested
$26.18
Value
—
PnL
-$26.18
Record
60%
1599-1056 (2655)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1654-1642 (3296)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6330-5547 (11877)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13143-10017 (23160)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
26%
281-787 (1068)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe6576c04...3777f3
Slug
highest-temperature-in-kuala-lumpur-on-october-28-2026-34c