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No
balthazarCTR<$100Yes
LucerysCTR<$100Yes
HaradwaithCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 75%
Total Value
$80
Combined PnL
-$12.37
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$80
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$0.08
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares121
Combined PnL-$12.45
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $79.92 | $80 | +$0.08 | 99% 1301-18 (1319) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $5.45 | — | -$5.45 | 43% 5075-6628 (11703) |
LucerysCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $4.86 | — | -$4.86 | 36% 3768-6825 (10593) |
HaradwaithCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.65 | — | -$0.65 | 32% 168-365 (533) |
AN anothercoinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.48 | 37% 1532-2611 (4143) |
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$79.92
Value
$80
PnL
+$0.08
Record
99%
1301-18 (1319)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
$5.45
Value
—
PnL
-$5.45
Record
43%
5075-6628 (11703)
LucerysCTR<$100Invested
$4.86
Value
—
PnL
-$4.86
Record
36%
3768-6825 (10593)
HaradwaithCTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
—
PnL
-$0.65
Record
32%
168-365 (533)
AN
anothercoinCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.48
Record
37%
1532-2611 (4143)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x75c22a1d...b0b05b
Slug
highest-temperature-in-kuala-lumpur-on-november-14-2026-28c