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No
balthazar<$100YesYesNoNoYes
IstarothCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$310.19
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares306
Combined PnL-$310.19
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Noavg 51.5¢ | $157.58 | — | -$310.19 | 55% 435-356 (791) |
balthazar<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21161-13476 (34637) |
HE hello.67<$100 | Yesavg 48.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1862-1833 (3695) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100 | Noavg 43¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 655-653 (1308) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Noavg 50.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13860-10628 (24488) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100 | Yesavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4445-9534 (13979) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 44¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 329-1356 (1685) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$157.58
Value
—
PnL
-$310.19
Record
55%
435-356 (791)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21161-13476 (34637)
HE
hello.67<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1862-1833 (3695)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
655-653 (1308)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13860-10628 (24488)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4445-9534 (13979)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
329-1356 (1685)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2db0b527...3c2207
Slug
highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-october-31-2026-36c