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IstarothNoYes
balthazar<$100NoYesNoNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$377.49
Combined PnL
$36.03
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$377.49
Total Shares377
Combined PnL+$208.02
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares300
Combined PnL-$171.99
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Istaroth | Noavg 44.9¢ | $169.47 | $377.49 | +$208.02 | 21% 305-1161 (1466) |
HE HellYeahTraderCTR | Yesavg 57.4¢ | $171.99 | — | -$171.99 | 56% 378-300 (678) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 47.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20996-13355 (34351) |
HE hello.67CTR<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 1781-1765 (3546) |
0X 0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100 | Noavg 33¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 628-611 (1239) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6490-5699 (12189) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 59.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13613-10430 (24043) |
IstarothInvested
$169.47
Value
$377.49
PnL
+$208.02
Record
21%
305-1161 (1466)
HE
HellYeahTraderCTRInvested
$171.99
Value
—
PnL
-$171.99
Record
56%
378-300 (678)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20996-13355 (34351)
HE
hello.67CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
1781-1765 (3546)
0X
0xeb1b3ef2729ab7be83e1337ec81f24467c7f87c0<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
628-611 (1239)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6490-5699 (12189)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13613-10430 (24043)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2b274269...12015a
Slug
highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-october-30-2026-36c