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NoNoYes
balthazar<$100NoYes
Lucerys<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 15?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$32.51
Combined PnL
-$5.04
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$32.51
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$3.2
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares18
Combined PnL-$1.83
No — 67%Yes — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $29.89 | $30 | +$0.11 | 39% 341-544 (885) |
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $2.5 | $2.51 | +$0.01 | 99% 1717-24 (1741) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 28% 3331-8552 (11883) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | $10.23 | $0.01 | -$0.9 | 42% 5249-7280 (12529) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $0.47 | — | -$0.47 | 17% 858-4091 (4949) |
Lucerys<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $27.74 | — | -$2.42 | 35% 3944-7368 (11312) |
GO
god83743894<$100Invested
$29.89
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.11
Record
39%
341-544 (885)
1D
1DVSBSTD<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
$2.51
PnL
+$0.01
Record
99%
1717-24 (1741)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
28%
3331-8552 (11883)
balthazar<$100Invested
$10.23
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$0.9
Record
42%
5249-7280 (12529)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$0.47
Value
—
PnL
-$0.47
Record
17%
858-4091 (4949)
Lucerys<$100Invested
$27.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.42
Record
35%
3944-7368 (11312)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb01dd2c2...d8f6a0
Slug
highest-temperature-in-karachi-on-november-15-2026-36c