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YesNoNoYes
LornaPredicts<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 30?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$15.32
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares192
Combined PnL-$15.32
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HE HellYeahTraderCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8¢ | $15.32 | — | -$15.32 | 56% 394-315 (709) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 95¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6512-5723 (12235) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Noavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13657-10450 (24107) |
0X 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100 | Yesavg 27¢ | — | — | +$0 | 32% 4418-9493 (13911) |
LornaPredicts<$100 | Noavg 89¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2425 (2960) |
HE
HellYeahTraderCTR<$100Invested
$15.32
Value
—
PnL
-$15.32
Record
56%
394-315 (709)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6512-5723 (12235)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13657-10450 (24107)
0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
32%
4418-9493 (13911)
LornaPredicts<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2425 (2960)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8b1993bf...957262
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-october-30-2026-36c