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NoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on November 14?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 25%
Total Value
$162.5
Combined PnL
-$29.43
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$162.5
Total Shares163
Combined PnL+$0.18
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares318
Combined PnL-$29.61
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1D 1DVSBSTD | Noavg 99.9¢ | $162.32 | $162.5 | +$0.18 | 99% 1425-20 (1445) |
0X 0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $20.45 | — | -$20.45 | 61% 790-508 (1298) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $7.99 | — | -$7.99 | 26% 730-2123 (2853) |
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.5¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 49% 816-837 (1653) |
NO northdrawerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.1¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.14 | 30% 1134-2678 (3812) |
1D
1DVSBSTDInvested
$162.32
Value
$162.5
PnL
+$0.18
Record
99%
1425-20 (1445)
0X
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354CTR<$100Invested
$20.45
Value
—
PnL
-$20.45
Record
61%
790-508 (1298)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$7.99
Value
—
PnL
-$7.99
Record
26%
730-2123 (2853)
0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
49%
816-837 (1653)
NO
northdrawerCTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
30%
1134-2678 (3812)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1df5e657...2c1105
Slug
highest-temperature-in-jeddah-on-november-14-2026-38c