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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18?
Resolved No. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 27%
Total Value
$388.52
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 11 top traders (27%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8444715a...e48f99
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-october-18-2026-16c