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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 9?

Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 100%

Total Value

$3.5

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No8 traders

Total Value$3.5

Total Shares4

Combined PnL+$0

Yes1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares0

Combined PnL+$0

No — 89%Yes — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1D 1DVSBSTD<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$3.5	$3.5	+$0	100% 30-0 (30)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	—	—	+$0	77% 44-13 (57)
0X 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	39% 51-81 (132)
QW qwen300.fund<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	80% 61-15 (76)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	46% 42-50 (92)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	28% 55-139 (194)
LU luciebot<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	77% 53-16 (69)
0X 0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	—	—	+$0	43% 34-45 (79)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 0.2¢	—	—	+$0	53% 86-75 (161)

Invested

$3.5

Value

$3.5

PnL

+$0

Record

100%

30-0 (30)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

44-13 (57)

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

39%

51-81 (132)

qwen300.fund<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

80%

61-15 (76)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

42-50 (92)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

28%

55-139 (194)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

77%

53-16 (69)

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

34-45 (79)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

86-75 (161)

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x715b3462...a5c69e

Slug

highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-9-2026-16c

Traders in this Market

1DVSBSTD

No — $3.5

Lucerys

No — $0

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

No — $0

qwen300.fund

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

luciebot

No — $0

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

No — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

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