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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on November 8?

Resolved No. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

No 50%

Total Value

$150

Combined PnL

-$7.46

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders

Total Value$150

Total Shares150

Combined PnL+$0.15

Yes7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares80

Combined PnL-$7.61

No — 42%Yes — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1D 1DVSBSTD	Noavg 99.9¢	$150	$150	+$0.15	97% 59583-1863 (61446)
IstarothCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.5¢	$7.61	—	-$7.61	13% 675-4577 (5252)
Lucerys<$100	Noavg 99.8¢	—	—	+$0	43% 18503-24146 (42649)
0X 0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6878-8119 (14997)
GR graynotebook19CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	55% 25544-21102 (46646)
AN anothercoin<$100	Noavg 91.5¢	—	—	+$0	35% 1117-2064 (3181)
0X 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.6¢	—	—	+$0	46% 6182-7381 (13563)
SM smallreceipt<$100	Noavg 99.7¢	—	—	+$0	45% 16706-20276 (36982)
LU luciebotCTR<$100	Yesavg 0¢	—	—	+$0	22% 3328-11802 (15130)
0X 0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	43% 5533-7231 (12764)
0X 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100	Yesavg 0.4¢	—	—	+$0	70% 16759-7350 (24109)
GH ghorrock<$100	Noavg 98¢	—	—	+$0	57% 24661-18268 (42929)

Invested

$150

Value

$150

PnL

+$0.15

Record

97%

59583-1863 (61446)

IstarothCTR<$100

Invested

$7.61

Value

—

PnL

-$7.61

Record

13%

675-4577 (5252)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

18503-24146 (42649)

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6878-8119 (14997)

graynotebook19CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

25544-21102 (46646)

anothercoin<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

35%

1117-2064 (3181)

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

46%

6182-7381 (13563)

smallreceipt<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

45%

16706-20276 (36982)

luciebotCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

22%

3328-11802 (15130)

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

5533-7231 (12764)

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

70%

16759-7350 (24109)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

24661-18268 (42929)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 12 top traders (42%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xade5d810...4a4def

Slug

highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-8-2026-7c

Traders in this Market

1DVSBSTD

No — $150

Istaroth

Yes — $0

Lucerys

No — $0

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

Yes — $0

graynotebook19

Yes — $0

anothercoin

No — $0

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

Yes — $0

smallreceipt

No — $0

luciebot

Yes — $0

0x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-1778811817579

Yes — $0

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