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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C or below on November 6?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Yes 56%
Total Value
$50
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 9 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f0b675a...c22cf6
Slug
highest-temperature-in-istanbul-on-november-6-2026-6corbelow